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India Equity Outlook Recalibrated with Positive Bias

India Equity Outlook Recalibrated with Positive Bias
Expert View: Mid-year - recalibrating India equity story with a positive bias, says Vinod Nair · livemint.com

At the start of the year, India's equity outlook was positive, with a focus on large-cap stocks.

The Nifty 50 target for December 2026 was set at 29,150.

However, due to new challenges like the West Asian crisis and volatility in the Indian Rupee, the target has been revised to 26,700.

Despite this, there is still a positive outlook for the longer term, with a target of 29,000 for December 2027.

Sectors like Banking, Telecom, Consumption, and Realty are now seen as positive investments, while IT is considered a contrarian bet.

The market's performance is expected to improve in the second half of the fiscal year, contingent on stabilizing oil prices and easing geopolitical tensions.

Key facts

Nifty 50 Target
26,700 (revised from 29,150)
Nifty 50 Target for 2027
29,000
Nifty 500-to-Gold Ratio
1.92x (June 2026)
Nifty IT Performance
-30.3% in H1CY26
Nifty Midcap100 Performance
+2.8% in H1CY26
Nifty Smallcap100 Performance
+7.1% in H1CY26
Global IT Spend Growth
13.5% in CY26
Nifty Bank Forward P/B
1.51x (below 5-year average of 1.99x)
FMCG Forward P/E
30x (against long-term average of 35x)
Telecom Valuation
Based on tariff repricing and 5G monetisation
Realty Valuation
Near 5-year average price-to-book of 3.71x

Sources

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