Archive · 2 Jan 2026
Prediction Markets Expand into Politics
Prediction markets are like stock markets, but instead of buying shares in companies, you bet on real-world events.
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket let people bet on things like elections, sports, and even the weather.
These markets have grown a lot, especially after a Supreme Court decision in 2018 made sports betting legal.
Now, they are also getting into politics.
Some people are worried that this could change how politics and news are covered, making people more interested in betting than voting.
Big news networks like CNN and CNBC are even partnering with these betting apps, which could lead to more ads and influence in the news.
Prediction markets allow betting on real-world events, including elections and sports.
Top platforms Kalshi and Polymarket saw $10 billion in bets in November 2025.
Polymarket ceased U.S. operations in 2022 due to regulatory pressure but has since resumed.
Donald Trump, Jr. is an adviser to both Kalshi and Polymarket.
CNN and CNBC have partnered with Kalshi to incorporate betting markets into news coverage.
- Who
- Users of prediction market apps like Kalshi and Polymarket.
- What
- Prediction markets expanding into political betting.
- When
- Growth in 2025 with $10 billion in bets in November.
- Where
- United States, with significant activity in political and sports betting.
- Why
- Supreme Court's 2018 decision to strike down the federal ban on sports betting, leading to increased gambling culture.
- Prediction Markets
- Platforms where users bet on real-world events like elections and sports.
- Top Platforms
- Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Regulation
- Polymarket ceased U.S. operations in 2022 due to regulatory pressure.
- Market Growth
- $10 billion in bets on Kalshi and Polymarket in November 2025.
- Political Influence
- Donald Trump, Jr. is an adviser to Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Media Partnerships
- CNN and CNBC have partnered with Kalshi to incorporate betting markets into news coverage.
- Concerns
- Potential manipulation of media coverage and democratic engagement.