Archive · 29 Sep 2026
Ventura's Vinit Bolinjkar urges caution as Indian markets remain volatile
Vinit Bolinjkar says Indian stock markets may move up and down a lot soon.
He still believes the market could do well over the next several months.
The Nifty 50 has fallen from its January 2026 peak and is currently moving within a narrower range.
Investors are watching company earnings, interest rates, oil prices, rural demand and government spending.
Bolinjkar says people should not buy stocks just because they recently went up.
Instead, they should look for strong businesses, sensible prices and healthy balance sheets.
He thinks large companies may be favored when investors feel uncertain.
He also says gold can help diversify a portfolio, but investors should keep cash available and avoid taking excessive risks.
Vinit Bolinjkar expects Indian equities to remain volatile in the near term, while maintaining a constructive medium-term outlook for the Nifty 50.
The Nifty 50 is consolidating near 23,000–23,400 after falling from its January 2026 high of about 26,373.
Bolinjkar identifies 23,800–24,000 as immediate resistance and 23,000, followed by 22,182, as key downside levels.
He says investors should favor business quality, valuations, earnings visibility and diversification over momentum-driven stock selection.
Gold may support portfolios amid uncertainty, while small-caps require selectivity because valuations remain elevated.
- Who
- Vinit Bolinjkar, Head of Research at Ventura, and investors in Indian equities.
- What
- Bolinjkar provided an outlook for Indian stocks, gold, silver, crude oil and portfolio strategy.
- When
- The interview discusses the near-term outlook and the next three to six months; it references the Nifty 50's January 2026 high.
- Where
- Indian financial markets, with global conditions also affecting investor sentiment.
- Why
- Geopolitical uncertainty, crude oil movements, interest-rate expectations, earnings prospects and market valuations are influencing investment decisions.
- Analyst
- Vinit Bolinjkar, Head of Research at Ventura
- Nifty 50 range
- The index is consolidating in the 23,000–23,400 zone.
- Nifty 50 resistance
- Immediate resistance is identified near 23,800–24,000.
- Nifty 50 support
- Support is at 23,000, followed by the 52-week low near 22,182.
- Nifty 50 valuation
- The index is trading at about 19.5x consolidated P/E, below its approximately 23x long-term median.
- Small-caps
- The Nifty Smallcap 100 is described as having elevated valuations and limited margin of safety.
- Portfolio approach
- Bolinjkar recommends quality, diversification, adequate liquidity and disciplined asset allocation.