Archive · 3 Sep 2026
India’s E-commerce Market Set to Nearly Triple by 2030
India’s online shopping market could become almost three times larger by 2030.
A report says quick commerce, which delivers products very quickly, will be a major reason for this growth.
Quick commerce could be worth $65-70 billion by then.
Companies may build many more small warehouses, called dark stores, to support faster deliveries.
More people from smaller cities are expected to shop online.
Gen Z is also expected to become the biggest group of digital spenders.
Artificial intelligence could help stores work more efficiently and personalize shopping.
Online shopping companies will still face problems such as fraud, returns, rule changes and pressure to make profits.
Traditional online stores are expected to remain the largest part of e-retail.
India’s e-commerce market is projected to rise from $125 billion in 2024 to $345 billion by 2030.
Quick commerce could contribute 45-50% of incremental e-retail growth and reach $65-70 billion by 2030.
India’s dark-store network is expected to grow from 2,525 facilities in 2025 to approximately 7,500 by 2030.
Blinkit leads quick commerce with a 44% FY26 market share, followed by Zepto at 25% and Swiggy Instamart at 20%.
AI, new online shoppers and demand from smaller cities are expected to reshape India’s digital retail market.
- Who
- Indian e-commerce companies, quick-commerce platforms, online shoppers, Gen Z consumers and new digital shoppers.
- What
- Research consultancy Infisum forecasts strong growth for India’s e-commerce market, led partly by quick commerce and artificial intelligence.
- When
- The projections cover growth through 2030, using market comparisons from 2024, 2025 and FY26.
- Where
- India, including Tier II and Tier III cities.
- Why
- Growth is expected to be driven by quick-commerce expansion, rising disposable incomes, wider internet access, faster digital adoption and new online shoppers.
- Overall e-commerce market by 2030
- Projected to reach $345 billion, up from $125 billion in 2024.
- Projected market growth rate
- An estimated compound annual growth rate of 18.4% through 2030.
- Quick-commerce value by 2030
- Estimated at $65-70 billion.
- Quick-commerce growth contribution
- Expected to account for 45-50% of incremental e-retail growth over the next five years.
- Dark-store network
- Projected to increase from 2,525 facilities in 2025 to approximately 7,500 by 2030.
- FY26 quick-commerce shares
- Blinkit 44%, Zepto 25% and Swiggy Instamart 20%.
- Online shoppers by 2030
- Expected to reach 420-440 million, including nearly 150 million new shoppers.
- AI productivity impact
- Artificial intelligence and machine learning could improve retail productivity by 35-37% by 2030.
