Archive · 26 Jun 2025
Goldman Sachs Predicts Consumer Durables Recovery in Second Half of FY26
Goldman Sachs thinks sales of things like TVs and air conditioners might start slow next year because it wasn't as hot this summer.
But they believe things will get better later in the year.
They think things like lower prices and easier loans will help boost sales.
Companies that sell a variety of products could do well.
The real estate market's doing great, which is good for electrical stuff.
Retailers are a little hopeful, since it started raining earlier than expected.
While summer sales were a bit slow, other items are still selling ok.
They're hoping the fall will be better, especially around the holidays.
Goldman Sachs predicts a slow start for consumer durables in Q1FY26 due to weak seasonal demand.
Analysts anticipate a recovery in the second half of FY26, fueled by lower inflation and favorable interest rates.
The real estate sector's upcycle is expected to drive strong demand for specific electrical products.
Retailers remain cautiously optimistic, citing early monsoon as a positive signal.
Despite summer sales impacts, categories like TVs, washing machines, and mobiles are performing steadily.
- Who
- Goldman Sachs, retailers, and consumer durable companies.
- What
- Goldman Sachs expects a weak start followed by a stronger second half for consumer durable sales.
- When
- Q1FY26 is expected to be weak, but the second half of FY26 should see a recovery.
- Where
- India
- Why
- Weak seasonal demand and erratic weather initially, followed by positive factors like lower inflation and favorable interest rates.
Negative Factors
Positive Factors
Summer Demand
Negative Factors
Weak seasonal demand during the summer months. Early monsoons impacting sales of certain products.
Positive Factors
Optimistic outlook supported by expectations of double-digit growth during the festive season.
- Forecast Period
- FY26
- Q1FY26 Outlook
- Weak
- Recovery Factors
- Lower inflation, favorable interest rates, tax cuts
- Real Estate Impact
- Strong demand for related products
- Retailer Sentiment
- Cautiously optimistic
- Summer Sales Impact
- Erratic weather affected sales
- Positive Indicator
- Early monsoon