Archive · 5 Jun 2025
China's Wheat Harvest Faces Threat from Drought, Could Reach 7-Year Low
China's wheat harvest is at risk due to a severe drought in key growing areas.
This could lead to a smaller wheat crop than usual, possibly the smallest since 2018.
The government is concerned about food security and may need to import more wheat.
Farmers are struggling with high temperatures, dry soil, and pests.
The government is offering help, but the extra costs are a burden.
Even though some rain has arrived, more is needed to prevent further damage.
China's wheat output may drop significantly due to drought.
The harvest could be the smallest since 2018.
Drought is most severe in northern wheat-growing regions.
The government is concerned about food security.
Farmers face challenges including high costs for irrigation and pest control.
- Who
- Chinese wheat farmers and the Chinese government.
- What
- China's wheat harvest is at risk of a significant decline due to drought and heat.
- When
- The current issue affects the 2025 wheat harvest.
- Where
- Northern China, including Henan and Shaanxi provinces.
- Why
- Drought and extreme weather are damaging wheat crops, impacting food security.
Farmer's Experience
Official Forecasts
Harvest Estimates
Farmer's Experience
Farmers are worried about the impact of drought and pests.
Official Forecasts
Official forecasters predict a harvest of 140 million tons or more.
- Expected Wheat Output
- 133-135 million tons (estimated for 2025)
- Last Year's Output
- 140 million tons (last year's record)
- Potential Harvest Size
- Lowest since 2018
- Most Affected Regions
- Henan and Shaanxi
- Tariff on US Wheat
- 15%