Archive · 4 Jan 2026
BJP Projected to Win Assam 2026 Elections
A recent survey called the People’s Pulse Tracker Poll says the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to win the next elections in Assam, India.
The survey was done between November 2025 and December 2025.
It shows that the BJP could get between 69 and 74 seats in the 126-seat Assembly, which is more than half.
The BJP's allies, together called the NDA, could get close to 90 seats.
The Congress party is expected to get between 25 and 29 seats.
The survey also shows that the BJP is popular among many groups of people in Assam, like Assamese, Ahom, OBC, and Hindu Bengali voters.
Muslim voters mostly support the Congress.
The survey suggests that people in Assam want the BJP to continue leading the state.
However, the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) president, Hagrama Mohilary, said that while the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL) could join the state Cabinet, there would be no alliance with UPPL in the Bodoland Territorial Region (BTR).
The BPF chief also mentioned that preparations for the 2026 elections are underway, with indications that the polls may be held earlier than usual, possibly in April before Rongali Bihu.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Assam on January 17, where a large Bagurumba dance performance will take place.
BJP projected to win 69 to 74 seats in the 2026 Assam Assembly elections, crossing the majority mark of 64.
NDA's overall tally expected to approach 90 seats, indicating a strong mandate.
Congress projected to win 25 to 29 seats, remaining the principal opposition but far behind the BJP.
BJP's vote share expected to be 39 percent, slightly ahead of Congress at 37 percent.
UPPL may join the state Cabinet but no alliance with UPPL in the Bodoland Territorial Region (BTR).
- Who
- BJP, Congress, NDA, BPF, and other political parties in Assam
- What
- BJP projected to win the 2026 Assam Assembly elections with a strong mandate
- When
- Survey conducted between November 15 and December 31, 2025; Elections expected in April 2026
- Where
- Assam, India
- Why
- BJP's organizational strength, alliance management, and welfare-driven outreach
BJP and Allies
Congress and Opposition
Electoral Projections
BJP and Allies
BJP projected to win 69 to 74 seats, with NDA approaching 90 seats.
Congress and Opposition
Congress expected to win 25 to 29 seats, remaining the principal opposition.
Vote Share
BJP and Allies
BJP's vote share expected to be 39 percent, slightly ahead of Congress at 37 percent.
Congress and Opposition
Congress's vote share is close to BJP's, indicating significant support.
Alliances and Representation
BJP and Allies
BJP may include UPPL in the state Cabinet but not in the Bodoland Territorial Region (BTR).
Congress and Opposition
Congress and other opposition parties may seek to challenge BJP's dominance in various regions.
- Projected BJP Seats
- 69 to 74
- Projected Congress Seats
- 25 to 29
- Projected NDA Seats
- Approaching 90
- BJP Vote Share
- 39 percent
- Congress Vote Share
- 37 percent
- AGP Vote Share
- 7 percent
- BPF Vote Share
- 5.5 percent
- AIUDF Vote Share
- 2.5 percent
- Chief Ministerial Preference
- Himanta Biswa Sarma (30 percent)
- UPPL in State Cabinet
- Possible, but no alliance in BTR
- Election Timing
- Expected in April 2026, before Rongali Bihu
- Prime Minister's Visit
- Narendra Modi to visit Assam on January 17
