8 months ago

BJP Projected to Win Assam 2026 Elections

BJP Projected to Win Assam 2026 Elections
People’s Pulse Tracker Poll hints at BJP hat-trick · thehansindia.com

A recent survey called the People’s Pulse Tracker Poll says the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to win the next elections in Assam, India.

The survey was done between November 2025 and December 2025.

It shows that the BJP could get between 69 and 74 seats in the 126-seat Assembly, which is more than half.

The BJP's allies, together called the NDA, could get close to 90 seats.

The Congress party is expected to get between 25 and 29 seats.

The survey also shows that the BJP is popular among many groups of people in Assam, like Assamese, Ahom, OBC, and Hindu Bengali voters.

Muslim voters mostly support the Congress.

The survey suggests that people in Assam want the BJP to continue leading the state.

However, the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) president, Hagrama Mohilary, said that while the United People’s Party Liberal (UPPL) could join the state Cabinet, there would be no alliance with UPPL in the Bodoland Territorial Region (BTR).

The BPF chief also mentioned that preparations for the 2026 elections are underway, with indications that the polls may be held earlier than usual, possibly in April before Rongali Bihu.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Assam on January 17, where a large Bagurumba dance performance will take place.

Key facts

Projected BJP Seats
69 to 74
Projected Congress Seats
25 to 29
Projected NDA Seats
Approaching 90
BJP Vote Share
39 percent
Congress Vote Share
37 percent
AGP Vote Share
7 percent
BPF Vote Share
5.5 percent
AIUDF Vote Share
2.5 percent
Chief Ministerial Preference
Himanta Biswa Sarma (30 percent)
UPPL in State Cabinet
Possible, but no alliance in BTR
Election Timing
Expected in April 2026, before Rongali Bihu
Prime Minister's Visit
Narendra Modi to visit Assam on January 17

Quotes

Debabrata Saikia

Leader of the Opposition (LoP) in the Assam Assembly

“At Tayabulla Road in Guwahati, House No. 44 and House No. 15 have names of unknown individuals. In one house alone, four names of people from Bihar have been included. This clearly shows how the BJP is attempting to manipulate Assam’s political landscape.”
assamtribune.com
“A secret order has come from the BJP to add at least 5,000 to 10,000 names at the last moment through non-Assamese voters so that the BJP, which does not follow the Constitution, can rule for five more years.”
assamtribune.com

Ripun Bora

Senior Congress leader

“Vote chori is being done systematically in a way that people do not notice. Rahul Gandhi has exposed these tactics, and now the BJP is trying the same in Assam. People must stay alert.”
assamtribune.com

Akhil Gogoi

Chief of Raijor Dal

“Under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, after a BJP MLA meeting, party legislators were sent back to their respective constituencies with instructions to add around 10,000 votes each; votes that may not even belong to the constituencies concerned. This is a very serious issue and could undermine the Constitution of India.”
assamtribune.com

Himanta Biswa Sarma

Chief Minister of Assam

“Since, there is provision for public to express concerns in a democratic nation, I would request people to register their claims to election commission.”
assamtribune.com

Sources

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