Archive · 11 Nov 2025
Bihar Exit Polls Predict NDA Sweep, Poor Debut for Prashant Kishor's Party
In Bihar, elections have just finished, and experts who study elections have released their predictions, called exit polls.
These polls suggest that the ruling alliance, called NDA, will win a lot of seats and keep their power.
The opposition alliance, called Mahagathbandhan, is expected to get fewer seats than they did last time.
A new party led by Prashant Kishor, called Jan Suraaj, is predicted to win very few, possibly even zero, seats in its first election.
The people of Bihar voted a lot, with high turnout in both voting days.
The final results will be known when the votes are counted on November 14.
It's important to remember that exit polls are just predictions and don't always turn out to be correct.
Nine exit polls predict a substantial victory for the ruling NDA in Bihar.
Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party is projected to win very few, possibly zero, seats in its electoral debut.
NDTV's aggregated poll of polls suggests NDA will secure 147 seats, Mahagathbandhan 90, and Jan Suraaj 1.
High voter turnout was recorded in both phases of the Bihar Assembly elections.
Vote counting for the elections is scheduled for November 14.
- Who
- Various political parties including NDA (BJP, JD(U), LJP), Mahagathbandhan (RJD, Congress), and Jan Suraaj Party.
- What
- Exit polls have predicted a significant victory for the NDA in the Bihar Assembly elections, with Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party expected to perform poorly.
- When
- Following the second and final phase of voting today; vote counting on November 14.
- Where
- Bihar Assembly elections.
- Why
- To elect representatives for the 243-seat Bihar Assembly.
Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress led)
NDA (BJP-JDU led)
Seat Projections
Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress led)
Predicted to win around 90 seats, a decrease from their 2020 tally.
NDA (BJP-JDU led)
Predicted to win around 147 seats, a comfortable majority well above the 122 mark.
Jan Suraaj Party Performance
Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress led)
High voter turnout was hoped to indicate anti-incumbency which could benefit opposition parties.
NDA (BJP-JDU led)
Despite high voter turnout, exit polls suggest this has not translated into significant gains for opposition or third fronts.
- Election Phase
- Second and final phase
- Total Assembly Seats
- 243
- Majority Mark
- 122
- Exit Poll Predictors
- Matrize, JVC, Chanakya Strategies, TIF Research, P-Marq, People's Insight, Dainik Bhaskar, DV Research, Peoples Pulse
- NDA Projected Seats (Poll of Exit Polls)
- 147
- Mahagathbandhan Projected Seats (Poll of Exit Polls)
- 90
- Jan Suraaj Party Projected Seats (Poll of Exit Polls)
- 1
- Vote Counting Date
- November 14
Sources
What may hold RJD back: struggle to expand beyond Muslims, Yadavs
Bihar: RJD alleges BJP agents distributed slips with party symbol, leaders’ photos in poll booths
Top Bihar Leaders Cast Votes as Phase Two Polling Sees Heavy Turnout and Sharp Barbs
Big Win For NDA In Bihar, No Seats For Prashant Kishor, Predict Exit Polls
Zero Seats, Big impact? Exit Polls On The Prashant Kishor Factor
Bihar Election Poll Of Exit Poll Results 2025 Highlights: 9 Exit Polls Predict NDA Sweep In Bihar, Poor Show By Prashant Kishor's Party
Bihar Exit Polls 2025: Analyses predict sweeping victory for NDA; Mahagathbandhan trails, Jan Suraaj struggles in debut
