Archive · 30 Sep 2025
ADB Projects India's Growth at 6.5% Amid Trade Concerns
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) predicts India's economy will grow by 6.5% in both 2025 and 2026, despite global trade uncertainty.
In the first half of 2025, India's GDP grew by 7.6% due to investment and domestic demand, although net exports and consumption were lower.
Manufacturing and construction are doing well.
Inflation is expected to decrease to 1.7% this year but rise slightly to 2.1% next year.
The ADB highlights the importance of sound economic management given current trade conditions.
ADB projects India's growth at 6.5% for FY26 and FY27.
India's GDP grew 7.6% in H1 2025.
Manufacturing and construction performed well in India.
Inflation is expected to ease to 1.7% this year and rise to 2.1% next year.
US tariffs and trade uncertainty impact regional growth.
- Who
- Asian Development Bank (ADB)
- What
- Projected India's GDP growth
- When
- 2025 and 2026
- Where
- India
- Why
- Amid a new global trade environment.
ADB
Other Financial Institutions
Economic Outlook
ADB
Projects 6.5% growth for India in 2025 and 2026.
Other Financial Institutions
Differing forecasts may exist due to external factors.
- FY26 GDP Growth Projection
- 6.5%
- FY27 GDP Growth Projection
- 6.5%
- H1 2025 GDP Growth
- 7.6%
- August CPI Inflation
- 2.07%
- Inflation Forecast (This Year)
- 1.7%
- Inflation Forecast (Next Year)
- 2.1%
Sources
Industrial growth in August at 4%
India’s August IIP rises 4% led by mining and electricity output surge
India’s industrial growth accelerates to 4 pc in August over robust mining
August IIP: Grows 4% led by mining; July output revised higher to 4.3%
India's Industrial Production Grows 4% In August 2025 Vs 3.5% A Month Ago: IIP Data
Industrial production grows 4 pc in August: Govt data
Industrial output grows 4% in August
India’s industrial output grows 4% in August, mining sector leads the way
India's Industrial Production Climbs 4% In August; Which Sector Is Leading This Growth?
IIP grows 4% in August, manufacturing slows sequentially
India’s industrial growth slows to 4% in August on weak manufacturing
IIP growth for August recorded at 4%, strong growth in infra
Industrial Production Grows 4% In August: Govt Data
Industrial Production Grows At 4 pc in August
IIP growth soars to 4% in Aug on mining boost
Upward revision of 6.7% GDP growth in FY26: EY
Asian Development Bank forecasts India’s growth at 6.5 pc for 2025 and 2026
