Archive · 26 Jan 2026
India may surpass US, China as largest economy by 2100
Some experts think that by the year 2100, India might become the world's biggest economy, even bigger than the US and China.
This is because India's population is expected to grow a lot, and more people will be working.
China's population is expected to shrink, which might make its economy grow slower.
The US might also become bigger than China again by 2070.
But these are just predictions and might not happen exactly like this.
Other experts also think India will grow a lot, with its economy being much bigger than China and the US by the end of the century.
India is projected to overtake the US as the largest economy by 2060, according to OECD estimates.
By 2100, India's economy is expected to be almost twice the size of China's.
China's population is projected to decline to 650 million by 2100, with a smaller labor force than India.
The US is expected to overtake China again as the second-largest economy by 2070.
India's labor force participation is projected to rise to 70% by 2100, contributing to its economic growth.
- Who
- India, China, US
- What
- Projected economic growth and population changes
- When
- By the end of the 21st century (2100)
- Where
- Global context, with focus on India, China, and the US
- Why
- Due to demographic changes and economic scenarios projected by OECD and CEBR
- Projected Year India Overtakes US
- 2060
- Projected Year US Overtakes China
- 2070
- China's Projected Population by 2100
- 650 million
- India's Projected Labour Force Participation by 2100
- 70%
- India's Projected GDP Growth Rate (2024-2028)
- 6.5%
- CEBR's Projected India's GDP by 2100
- 90% larger than China, 30% larger than US
