Archive · 18 Dec 2025
Morgan Stanley Predicts Reliance Industries Re-Rating
Morgan Stanley, a big investment company, thinks Reliance Industries (RIL) will do much better in the next few years.
They say RIL will make a lot of money from its energy, consumer, and telecom businesses all at the same time, which hasn't happened before.
Morgan Stanley believes RIL's refining business is very strong and will make a lot of money.
They also think RIL's telecom business, Jio, will make more money as it grows and offers new services.
The company is also investing in new areas like AI and energy storage.
Morgan Stanley has set a target price of Rs 1,847 for RIL's stock and thinks it will do well in 2026.
They expect RIL to have a 'golden age' for refining, creating $7 to $10 billion in value.
RIL's margins have decreased, but Morgan Stanley thinks they will rise by 10-15% by the end of 2026.
RIL is also improving its margins by increasing imports of cheap US ethane feedstock and expanding PVC capacity in India.
Morgan Stanley predicts a re-rating and earnings upgrades for Reliance Industries (RIL) in every quarter of 2026.
RIL's investments of $80 billion since the pandemic are expected to deliver returns from 2026.
RIL's energy, consumer, and telecom businesses are turning free cash flow (FCF) positive for the first time.
Morgan Stanley expects a 'golden age' for refining, creating $7 to $10 billion in value for RIL.
RIL's telecom business, Jio, is expected to see a 9% CAGR in ARPU and 18% growth in EBITDA and earnings.
- Who
- Morgan Stanley
- What
- Predicts Reliance Industries re-rating and earnings upgrades
- When
- 2026
- Where
- Global market
- Why
- Onset of RIL's fourth monetisation cycle and inflection in cash flows across major business verticals
- Company
- Reliance Industries (RIL)
- Brokerage
- Morgan Stanley
- Target Price
- Rs 1,847
- Investment Period
- Post-Covid (>US$80bn)
- Expected FCF Positive Businesses
- Energy, Consumer, Telecom
- Refining Margins
- ~US$14/bbl
- Expected NAV from Refining
- USD7-10bn
- Expected ARPU Growth (Telecom)
- 9% CAGR in F26e-F28e
Sources
Morgan Stanley re-rates Reliance Industries with target of Rs 1,847; says consumer, telecom biz key drivers
Reliance Industries: 3 reasons why Morgan Stanley sees 20% upside potential; says 2026 could be the breakout year
Reliance to see re-rating, upgrade every quarter next year, says Morgan Stanley