2 weeks ago

Defence Maker HAL Receives Mixed Ratings, Divergent Share Price Targets

Defence Maker HAL Receives Mixed Ratings, Divergent Share Price Targets
HAL share price targets: Defence maker a consensus ‘Buy’, but some see limited upside · businesstoday.in

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, or HAL, is a company in India that builds airplanes for the country's defence forces.

People who give investing advice, called brokerages, study companies like HAL to tell investors whether to buy their shares.

Some experts are very happy with HAL and say 'buy' its stock.

Other experts say 'wait' or 'hold' because they worry the company's profits might slow down.

HAL has a big pile of orders worth Rs 2.5 lakh crore, which is a huge amount of money.

But one expert thinks that pile is at its biggest and will shrink over the next few years.

Another expert was worried because HAL's recent deliveries did not come as fast as expected.

A different expert said HAL did better than expected in its latest quarter and raised the price they think the stock is worth.

So, even though most experts like the company, they disagree on how much its stock should cost.

That is why some say buy and others say hold.

Key facts

Rating consensus
Buy, though InCred Equities and Nuvama rate it Hold
Brokerage target prices
Rs 4,550 (InCred), Rs 5,040 (Nuvama), Rs 5,431 (Anand Rathi), Rs 6,314 (Nomura)
Order backlog
Rs 2.5 lakh crore (seen by InCred as a cyclical peak for 2-3 years)
Capex plan
Rs 15,000 crore over 3-4 years
Stock rally
35 per cent since April
Valuation
35.9x FY27 EPS of Rs 4,960 (Anand Rathi); 33x/30x FY27E/FY28E EPS (Nuvama)
Key near-term catalyst
Mk-1A testing in September and delivery milestones
Nomura estimates
19 per cent PAT CAGR over FY26-29F, target raised to Rs 6,314 from Rs 6,040

Quotes

InCred Equities

Equity research analyst at InCred Equities

“"That tailwind is turning around with capex ramping and product mix shifting - we see margins, other income and cash flow all rolling over, not to mention the current backlog of Rs 2.5 lakh crore being at a cyclical peak for next 2-3 years. Maintain HOLD on HAL (Target: Rs 4,550) as we believe higher product mix should trump margins going ahead while Rs 15,000 crore capex plan over 3-4 years shall weigh on cash accruals and working capital,"”
businesstoday.in
“"While much of the re-rating is captured ahead of deliveries, improving execution support our positive view. Retain Buy; Mk-1A testing in September and delivery milestones are the key near-term catalysts,"”
businesstoday.in

Sources

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