Archive · 15 Nov 2025
Gold Prices Surge Over ₹2,000 This Week Amid Geopolitical Anxiety and Central Bank Demand
Imagine gold is like a special safety blanket people buy when they are worried about the future, like during times of global tension or when countries' economies seem shaky.
This week, gold prices went up quite a bit because there's a lot of worry in the world and big banks, like China's, are buying lots of gold for their reserves.
Also, the recent closure of the US government created a puzzle because important economic information is missing, making it hard for the big US bank (the Fed) to decide what to do with borrowing costs.
This uncertainty usually makes gold more attractive.
However, on Friday, some officials from the US bank made comments that suggested they might keep borrowing costs high for longer, which made people sell gold, causing its price to dip that day.
Experts advise that while gold has long-term potential, it's best to buy it when the price dips a bit rather than chasing after it when it's already high.
Gold prices in the futures market rose over ₹2,000 or nearly 2% this week, despite a sell-off on Friday.
The weekly rise was attributed to structural central bank demand, geopolitical anxiety, and weak economic data expectations post-US government shutdown.
On Friday, gold prices fell on MCX, settling at ₹123,400, due to hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials.
Central banks have been significant buyers, purchasing over 1,000 tons annually in recent years, with strong future accumulation expected.
Analysts advise investors to avoid chasing highs and instead use price dips as buying opportunities, with support levels around ₹118,000-120,000.
- Who
- Traders, investors, analysts (Justin Khoo, Manav Modi), central banks (e.g., China, Poland), and the US Federal Reserve.
- What
- Gold prices rose over ₹2,000 (nearly 2%) this week, despite a Friday sell-off, driven by geopolitical anxiety and central bank demand. However, hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve caused a price drop on Friday.
- When
- This week, with prices settling lower on Friday, but achieving a weekly gain.
- Where
- Domestic futures market (MCX) and global markets.
- Why
- The rise was driven by structural central bank demand, geopolitical anxiety, weak economic data expectations post-US government shutdown, and rebound after profit booking. The Friday drop was due to hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials.
Factors Supporting Gold Price Increase
Factors Causing Gold Price Decrease
US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy
Factors Supporting Gold Price Increase
Weak economic data expectations following the US government shutdown are supporting bullion prices. The data gap created by the shutdown leaves the Fed and traders uncertain ahead of policy meetings.
Factors Causing Gold Price Decrease
Hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials on Friday caused a sell-off, dimming the yellow metal's shine and leading to a drop in MCX prices.
Central Bank and Investor Demand
Factors Supporting Gold Price Increase
Structural demand from central banks, with purchases exceeding 1,000 tons annually in recent years and projected for 2025, provides a strong floor for gold prices. Geopolitical anxiety also fuels demand.
Factors Causing Gold Price Decrease
Investors are advised against chasing recent highs due to gold's wild gyrations, with suggestions to accumulate during dips. Profit-taking near recent highs is also recommended.
Market Dynamics
Factors Supporting Gold Price Increase
An increase in Shanghai gold inventories at a significant pace and rebound after brief profit booking are supporting the price rise.
Factors Causing Gold Price Decrease
Gold prices experienced a sell-off on Friday, settling lower on the MCX despite the week's overall gains.
- Gold MCX Settlement Price (Friday)
- ₹123,400
- Weekly Gold Price Increase
- Over ₹2,000 (nearly 2%)
- Gold All-Time High
- ₹132,000
- Central Bank Gold Purchases (2022-2023)
- Over 1,000 tons annually
- Projected Central Bank Gold Purchases (2025)
- 750-950 tons
- Gold Support Level
- ₹118,000-120,000
- Gold Medium-to-Long Term Target
- ₹130,000–137,000