Archive · 9 Jun 2025
Kotak Warns of Railway Stock Valuation Disconnect
Some railway stocks have gone up in price a lot recently.
Experts at Kotak think these stocks might be too expensive compared to how well the companies are doing.
They also think that the government isn't planning to spend much more money on railways soon.
This is a concern because if companies are valued more than the profit they make, investors may pull out of their investments.
This may eventually lead to stock value declines.
Even though money is being spent on railways, there isn't much new investment planned for the future.
One agency expects railway companies to grow, but not by a lot in the coming year.
Railway stocks have seen a significant rally in the last month.
Kotak analysts point to a 'large disconnect' between valuations and fundamentals.
Railway capex is expected to remain flat in FY26.
ICRA predicts moderate revenue growth of 5% for railway companies in FY26.
Analysts see limited pickup in railway capex in the medium term.
- Who
- Kotak Institutional Equities analysts, ICRA, and railway sector companies.
- What
- Railway stock valuations have surged despite flat capex and moderate growth expectations.
- When
- Over the past month and projections for FY26.
- Where
- India
- Why
- Kotak analysts cite market euphoria and disconnect between valuations and fundamentals.
- Railway Stock Rally
- 20% in the past month
- Market Cap Increase
- ₹61,000 crore
- FY24 Railway Capex
- ₹2,426 billion
- FY25 Railway Capex (Revised)
- ₹2,519 billion
- FY26 Railway Capex (Budget)
- ₹2,520 billion
- ICRA Revenue Growth (FY26)
- 5%