2 weeks ago

Goldman economist: AI unlikely to cause widespread India job losses

Goldman economist: AI unlikely to cause widespread India job losses
Goldman Sachs Says AI Unlikely To Cause Widespread Job Losses In India, Services Sector Faces Risk · freepressjournal.in

A smart economist at a big bank says artificial intelligence, or AI, is not expected to take away many jobs in India.

That is because many Indian workers do physical jobs, like building things or working in shops.

Those kinds of jobs are not being done by AI right now.

However, some office jobs, like answering phone calls for companies, could change.

Jobs in finance, health care, education and business services could actually get help from AI.

If India brings in AI slowly and carefully, the country could make more things with the same amount of work.

That could add a little extra output over the next ten years.

India's economy is doing very well and surprised the economist's company.

Prices have gone up only a little, and India's central bank might make borrowing cost more starting in December, but any increase would be small.

Key facts

Economist
Santanu Sengupta
Firm
Goldman Sachs Group
Workforce share in construction and retail
About 40%
Productivity gain estimate
+0.4 percentage points over 10 years
Sectors at substitution risk
Postal, telecommunication and IT services (call centres)
Sectors expected to benefit
Finance, health care, education, business services
RBI rate outlook
Possible shallow hiking cycle starting December, depending on core inflation
Economy context
One of the fastest-growing major economies, resilient despite the Middle East shock

Quotes

Santanu Sengupta

Chief India economist at Goldman Sachs Group

“India’s labor force is unlikely to face widespread job losses from artificial intelligence, though some positions in the services sector could be affected”
theprint.in
“The main reason is because our workforce is pretty large, and a lot of them are in more mechanical or physical kind of tasks.”
CNBC TV 18

Sources

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