Archive · 16 Sep 2025
Bank Chiefs Predict Strong Credit Growth Despite Q1 Slowdown
Bank executives are optimistic about future lending, despite a slow start to the year.
They predict that overall lending will grow by 11-13%.
Corporate borrowing was down in the first quarter because companies used other ways to get money.
But banks expect demand to rise, especially during the festival season, driven by good economic factors.
While there's some concern about people moving their money to the stock market, banks are still actively lending to infrastructure and new sectors.
Bank chiefs forecast a credit growth revival to 11-13% despite slower Q1 lending.
Corporate credit growth was subdued, with companies favoring bond markets.
Bank executives expect a pickup in consumer demand after September.
Most bank CEOs project industry credit growth in the 11–13% range.
Growth will be led by retail, agriculture, and MSME sectors.
- Who
- Bank Chiefs
- What
- Projected credit growth revival
- When
- Q1 slowdown, with expectations for pickup in Q3/Q4
- Where
- Banking Transformation Summit
- Why
- Optimism driven by expected demand, GST reforms, and favorable monsoon.
Bank Perspective
Alternate Perspective
Impact of Household Savings
Bank Perspective
Banks believe that although there is a diversion of funds from household savings, they still have a strong retail term deposit base, and are ready to fund. CASA has fallen, but retail deposits remain strong.
Alternate Perspective
Some believe that funds have diverted from household savings in banks to mutual funds and stock markets.
- Projected Industry Credit Growth
- 11-13%
- SBI Credit Growth Target
- 13%
- Corporate Credit Growth (Q1)
- 6%
- Anticipated Consumer Demand Pickup
- Post-September
Sources
FY26 bank credit to be a shade higher at 11–12% even as NPAs decline
Crisil sees 11–12% credit growth this fiscal
Bank Credit To Grow 11-12% This Year On Better 2nd Half
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