Politics · Australia · 13 hrs ago
Poll puts Victorian Labor third behind Coalition and One Nation
A new poll puts Victoria's Labor government third in primary vote support before the state election on 28 November.
The DemosAU/PremierNational poll puts Labor at 18%, the Coalition at 33% and One Nation at 21%.
The Greens are on 17%, while the poll gives the Coalition a 56-44 lead over Labor on a two-party preferred basis.
Labor MPs are worried about the result, though some question the 18% figure and say other public polls put the party in the 20s.
The poll has intensified concerns in Labor's caucus about the campaign strategy, including its recent focus on crime.
Labor has announced youth detention and police funding plans as part of its campaign.
If the poll were repeated on election night, the pollster said, the Coalition would win a clear majority; the election is scheduled for 28 November.
A DemosAU/PremierNational poll puts Victorian Labor third on 18%, behind the Coalition and One Nation.
The poll gives the Coalition 33% of the primary vote, One Nation 21% and the Greens 17%.
It shows the Coalition leading Labor 56–44 on a two-party-preferred basis, compared with 52–48 in September.
Labor MPs expressed concern about the result, while some questioned whether the 18% figure was reliable.
The Victorian state election is scheduled for November 28.
- Who
- Victorian Labor, the Coalition, One Nation and the Greens.
- What
- A poll puts Labor third on primary votes, behind the Coalition and One Nation.
- When
- Published on Monday, November 9, 2026. The state election is scheduled for November 28.
- Where
- Victoria, Australia.
- Why
- Not stated
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
The Coalition led Labor 52–48 on a two-party-preferred basis, according to the comparison in the new poll.
Ben Carroll announced a $204m plan for a rehabilitation detention program for some youth offenders.
The DemosAU/PremierNational poll was published, showing Labor on 18% of the primary vote.
Carroll announced $70m to recruit 200 more police reservists and spoke to reporters in South Melbourne.
The Victorian state election is scheduled to take place.
- Labor primary vote
- 18%, down seven points
- Coalition primary vote
- 33%
- One Nation primary vote
- 21%
- Greens primary vote
- 17%, up three points since September
- Two-party preferred
- Coalition 56%, Labor 44%
- Poll sample
- 1,562 respondents; effective sample of 818; margin of error 3.4%
What people are saying
If that happens, One Nation has to poll really, really well to have a chance of winning, because Labor and Greens preferences will flow to the Liberals.
We went to the trouble of a bigger sample here, and I stand by it.
The alternative is a Liberal-One Nation government that will fight against you – they’re going to shrink the economy, cause a recession and make life difficult for every single Victorian.
Even if it’s higher than 18, and we get back into something with a two in front of it, the experiment has been an epic fail, the campaign is in freefall, and it’s about to get a whole lot worse.